Wednesday, August 06, 2014

New Study of Longevity Risk

Dear Colleagues,

We are pleased to alert you about our new study of longevity risk published by professional peer-reviewed journal:

New Findings on Older People’s Life Expectancies Confirm Gompertz Law:
The Impact on the Value of Securitized Life Settlements
Leonid A. Gavrilov, Natalia S. Gavrilova, Charles Austin Stone, and Anne Zissu
Journal of Structured Finance, 2014, Vol. 20, No. 2: pp. 66–73. Summer Issue.
DOI: 10.3905/jsf.2014.20.2.066
http://www.iijournals.com/doi/abs/10.3905/jsf.2014.20.2.066

Abstract:

Recent findings using records from the U.S. Social Security Administration’s Death Master File discredit the late life mortality deceleration theory and confirm that life expectancies follow the Gompertz law not only until the age of 80, but for many years after.   The authors show how these findings have major implications on the valuation of senior life settlements and securities backed by life settlements.   They illustrate the sensitivity of valuation to the incorporation of the results of recent research regarding longevity risk.

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Comments and suggestions are most welcome!

Kind regards,

-- Leonid  and  Natalia

-------------------------------------------------
-- Leonid Gavrilov, Ph.D., GSA Fellow
-- Natalia Gavrilova, Ph.D., GSA Fellow
Center on Demography and Economics of Aging
 NORC at the University of Chicago
Website: http://longevity-science.org/

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