Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Two Scientific Presentations on Longevity & Mortality in Detroit, May 1-2

See also:
-- 'Books Forum' blog
-- 'Health Studies' blog

Dear All,

I am pleased to invite you to our two scientific presentations that will take place in Detroit on May 1 and 2.

Both scientific presentations will take place in Detroit Marriott at the Renaissance Center, Detroit, Michigan 48243 USA (Phone: 1-313-568-8000)

First presentation:
Friday, May 01, 2:30 PM
Room: Mackinac West

Mortality Measurement at Advanced Ages
by Leonid A. Gavrilov and Natalia S. Gavrilova
at PAA Session 130: Methodological Issues in Health and Mortality

To see Power-Point Presentation of this lecture click here:


Second presentation:
Saturday, May 02, 11:30 AM
Room: Richard B

Midlife Predictors of Exceptional Longevity:
A Study of the U.S. WWI Draft Registration Cards

by Natalia S. Gavrilova and Leonid A. Gavrilov
at PAA Session 172: Early Life Conditions and Adult Health

To see Power-Point Presentation of this lecture click here:


Looking forward to see you there!

Please feel free to post your comments and suggestions below by clicking here.

Key words:
Mortality Measurement, Advanced Ages, Predictors of Exceptional Longevity, Detroit, Scientific Presentations, PAA, Leonid Gavrilov, Natalia Gavrilova, ageing, aging, gerontology, longevity, centenarians

Longevity Science Blog
Two Scientific Presentations on Longevity & Mortality in Detroit, May 1-2
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Sunday, April 05, 2009

Call to Danish Colleagues

See also:
-- 'Books Forum' blog
-- 'Health Studies' blog


We will be in Denmark on May 26 - 29, and we would be delighted to meet Danish colleagues interested in aging and longevity studies.

If you are one of them, please contact us at:


This is our first trip to Denmark, but we have some prior experience of giving invited lectures in Canada, France, Australia, England, Germany, Japan, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands, Russia, Malaysia, and of course in the United States:


We would be glad to find some people in Denmark interested in aging and longevity studies for possible contacts.

We are invited to REVES meeting on 'Reducing Gaps in Health Expectancy' in Copenhagen, starting on May 26 and until May 29 (please see conference program attached below).

Looking forward to hear from you!

Kind regards,

-- Leonid Gavrilov, Ph.D.:

-- Natalia Gavrilova, Ph.D.:


The 21st REVES conference in Copenhagen 2009


26 May

Optional training session, 10.00‐15.00
Software for multistate calculations: Hands on SAS session for CI estimation; Bayesian method for HE calculation

Conference 27 - 29 May: Reducing gaps in health expectancy

Except for the concept and methods session (session 5), the presenters will be given 20 minutes each (including discussion).

27 May

8.00‐9.00 Registration
9.00‐9.15 Welcome remarks
9.15‐10.45 Session 1: Harmonization and International comparisons
Chair: Y Saito
- C Jagger, JM Robine, H Van Oyen and the EHLEIS team. A comparison of health expectancies in the EU25: results from the EHLEIS project.
- O Ekholm and H Brønnum‐Hansen. Cross‐national comparisons of non‐harmonized Healthy Life Years indicators may lead to more confusion than clarification.
- NK Rasmussen. Cross cultural comparability of questionnaire based data used for health expectancy calculations.
- M Smith and C White. An investigation into the impact of question change on estimates of general health status and healthy life expectancy in the United Kingdom.
10.45‐11.00 Break

11.00‐12.30 Session 2: Gender
Chair: DJH Deeg
- WJ Nusselder. Decomposition of gender differences in Healthy Life Years.
- H Van Oyen, B Cox, JM Robine and C Jagger for the EHEMU‐team. Patterns in gender gaps in the EU.
- L Frova, A Battisti and A Burgio. Are gaps in disability free life expectancies reducing in Italy?
- RS Goyal. Whether the poverty of women in childhood and adult ages affect their health disability status in later years?

12.30‐14.00 Lunch at Simplycooking, CSS

14.00‐15.45 Session 3: Methods – measures, models, simulations
Chair: MD Hayward
- A Andreotti, N Minicuci, P Kowal and S Chatterji. Multidimensional profiles of health status: An application of the grade of membership model to the World Health Survey.
- F Matthews and A van den Hout. The shape of life and healthy life expectancies.
- X Liu, CC Engel, H Kang and KL Gore. Reducing selection bias in analyzing longitudinal health data with high mortality rates.
- SD Grosse, VA Campbell and G Krahn. Disability or desirability‐adjusted life expectancies? How to interpret Health Adjusted Life Expectancies.
- L Cai. Health‐adjusted value of health care spending on the elderly in the United States, 1992‐2002.

15.45‐16.00 Break

16.00‐17.30 Session 4: Projections, forecasts and scenarios
Chair: H Brønnum‐Hansen
- D Banham. Targeting health expectancy gaps in South Australia.
- M Lagergren, M Thorslund and M Parker. Revised projections of the development of LTC costs in Sweden 2005‐ 2040.
- R Matthews, C Jagger and MRC CFAS. Trends in disease and how they will impact on disability in the older population.
- KJ Anstey and the DYNOPTA collaborators. Pooling longitudinal studies of ageing for epidemiological analysis and to model health futures: the DYNOPTA project.

19.0 Conference dinner at “Spiseloppen”, Christiania (Bådsmandsstræde 43, 2.th. 1407, København K)

28 May
9.00‐11.30 Session 5: Basic concepts and methods
Chair: JM Robine
- K Avlund. How to measure disability, the disablement process and early signs of disability
- C Mathers. The disability process and WHO classification systems, past and future
- Discussion
- Break
- F Matthews. Estimation and statistically considerations
- Y Saito. Software overview

11.30‐14.30 Lunch at Statens Museum for Kunst, National Art Gallery (Sølvgade 48‐50, 1307, København K)
14.30‐15.30 George Myers lecture by James W Vaupel
15.30‐15.45 Break

15.45‐17.15 Session 6: Oldest old and healthy aging
Chair: B Jeune

- LA Gavrilov and NS Gavrilova. Physical characteristics at the midlife and survival to age 100: A study of American men.

- H Engberg, A Oksuzyan, B Jeune, JW Vaupel and K Christensen. Healthy aging in Danish centenarians – a 29 year follow‐up of hospitalizations among 40,000 Danes in the 1905 birth cohort.
- T Sarkeala, M Vuorisalmi, A Hervonen and M Jylhä. Functional status among Finnish nonagenarians in 1996‐2007: Vitality 90+ Study, Tampere.
- VM Shkolnikov, EM Andreev, P Demakakos, A Oksuzyan, K Christensen, MA Shkolnikova and JW Vaupel. Patterns of grip strength in Moscow as compared to Denmark and England.

17.15‐17.30 Break

17.30‐18.30 Session 7: Trends I
Chair: F Matthews
- JW Bruggink. Health expectancies in the Netherlands since 1981.
- CH Van Gool, HSJ Picavet, DJH Deeg, MMY de Klerk, WJ Nusselder, MPJ van Boxtel A Wong and N Hoeymans. Trends in late‐life activity limitations: The Dutch population between 1990 and 2007.
- SL Reynolds and EM Crimmins. Trends in the ability to work among the older US working population, 1997‐2007.

29 May

9.00‐10.45 Session 8: Social, ethnic and other differences
Chair: SL Reynolds
- DC Brown, MD Hayward, JK Montez, MM Hidajat and RA Hummer. The significance of education for rectangularization of the survival curve in the United States.
- R Wilkins. The Canadian census mortality follow‐up study: a new resource for the study of socioeconomic disparities health expectancies.
- K Knoops, JW Bruggink and M van den Brakel. Healthy life expectancy and socio‐economical status in the Netherlands.
- A Burlison. Healthy life expectancy in Scotland.
- Z Zimmer, M Wen and T Kaneda. A multi‐level analysis of urban versus rural differences in functional status transition among older Chinese.

10.45‐11.00 Break

11.00‐12.45 Session 9: Risk factors and chronic diseases
Chair: WJ Nusselder
- L Bonneux, M Reuser and F Willekens. Disability trajectories and life style. A longer life in good health is closed by a longer period in more severe disability.
- B Klijs. Contribution of chronic diseases to the burden of disability in the Netherlands.
- R Ham‐Chande. Demographic structures and aging at the MX‐US border: Social and economic effects on health expectancies and care.
- EM León Diaz and M Gómez. Perception of health of older adults, Havana Cuba. Socio‐demographic and health determinants associated by sex.
- N Brouard, M Espagnacq, JF Ravaud and the Tetrafigap group. Life expectancy of tetraplegic spinal cord injured individuals in France: a ten years follow‐up.

12.45‐14.00 Lunch at Simplycooking, CSS

14.00‐15.00 Session 10: Trends II
Chair: R Wilkins
- LH Chen. Disability‐free life expectancy trends in Taiwan: Compression, expansion or dynamic equilibrium.
- SLK Cheung and SFP Yip. Are we heading to the compression of disability? The case of Hong Kong SAR, 1984‐2008.
- I Pool, W Boddington, J Cheung and R Didham. Differential trends in mortality compression: Assessing the antecedents to gaps in health expectancy in New Zealand.

15.00‐15.30 Closing ceremonies


Key words:
Denmark, Invited Lectures, REVES, Leonid Gavrilov, Natalia Gavrilova, ageing, aging, geriatrics, gerontology, longevity, centenarians

Longevity Science Blog
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Thursday, April 02, 2009

'Science Against Aging' Research Plan -- Invitation to Discussion

See also:
-- 'Books Forum' blog
-- 'Health Studies' blog

Dear All:

You are cordially invited to participate in discussion of a new 'Science Against Aging' Research Plan:

Shorter weblink:

The authors of this program wrote:

Please, answer 12 basic questions on the biology of ageing:

1. Why are organisms exposed to progressive and irreversible reduction of physiological functions in the final period of their lives?

2 . Why do life expectancy and speed of aging differ within one species and across species?

3. Why does experimental treatment such as caloric restriction delay a great number of age-related physiological and pathological changes and increase the average and maximum life duration in animals?

4. Do these factors affect aging and age-associated diseases independently from one another?

5. Do age-related changes in the organism increase the exposure to diseases or do diseases develop independently and only later exacerbate the manifestations of aging?

6. What are, in your view, possible points of a scientific breakthrough in research aimed at increase of longevity?

7. At what evolutionary phase did aging arise or, alternatively, has it accompanied life since its inception?

8. Are the aging processes of an organism caused by aging at the cell level?

9. To what extent are aging processes conditioned genetically?

10. Why do species with 'negligible' aging exist?

11. Are reproduction and life expectancy interrelated or independent from each other?

12. What other questions may be crucial for understanding the mechanisms of aging?

The authors of this program also invited to comment on the sections of their Research Plan:

Section 1
Fundamental Mechanisms of Aging. Main Research Areas

Section 2
Genetics of Lifespan and Aging. Main Research Directions

Section 3
Metabolic Aspects of Aging and Longevity. Main Research Directions

Section 4
Immunity and Aging. Main Research Directions

Section 5
Stem Cells and Aging. Main Research Directions

Section 6
Application of Stem Cells in Geriatrics & Gerontology. Main Research Directions

Section 7
Medicated Geroprotection. Main Research Directions

Section 8
Geroprotectors Efficiency Research. Main Research Directions

Section 9
Identification of the Molecular Markers in Aging. Selected Clauses

Section 10
Mathematical Modelling of the Life Span, Longevity and Aging. Main Research Directions

Section 11
Microecology and Aging. Main Research Directions

Section 12
Reproduction and Aging. Selected Research Directions

Section 13
Environmental Influence on Aging. Selected Research Directions

The Word "doc" version of the entire Program is available at:

Shorter weblink:

Please feel free to post your comments and suggestions below by clicking here.

Key words:
Science Against Aging, Fundamental Mechanisms of Aging, Genetics of Lifespan and Aging, Metabolic Aspects of Aging and Longevity, Immunity and Aging, Stem Cells and Aging, Application of Stem Cells in Geriatrics & Gerontology, Medicated Geroprotection, Geroprotectors Efficiency, Molecular Markers in Aging, Mathematical Modelling of the Life Span, Longevity and Aging; Microecology and Aging; Reproduction and Aging; Environmental Influence on Aging

Longevity Science Blog
'Science Against Aging' Research Plan -- Invitation to Discussion
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